Current and Potential Use of Technology Forecasting Tools in the Federal Government

Abstract

This report examines the current and potential future use of technology forecasts in science and technology (S and T) decision-making to help the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) improve the development and implementation of S and T analytic capabilities. We found that tracking and summarization capabilities could help analysts sort, organize, and distill large amounts of information as well as keep abreast of new developments. Alert capabilities could flag analysts when an indicator passesa pre-determined threshold, notifying them to focus their investigation on a particular issue. Personnel interviewed noted, however,that any tool should be designed to aid rather than supplant the role of the analyst and should not be operated in a stand-alone fashion.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2016
Accession Number
AD1014325

Entities

People

  • Emily J. Sylak-glassman
  • Nayanee Gupta
  • Sharon R. Williams

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Commerce
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Visualization
  • Department Of Defense
  • Governments
  • Health Care
  • Intelligence Community (United States)
  • Military Research
  • National Governments
  • National Security
  • Public Health
  • Technology Forecasting
  • Test Methods
  • United States
  • United States Government
  • Weapons Of Mass Destruction

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Distributed Systems and Data Platform Development
  • Strategic Security Studies