Chinas Rise: A Time for Choosing
Abstract
This study comprises an analysis of hegemonic stability theory in the context of US-Sino relations as China grows in power. It analyzes current literature applicable to accommodation (appeasement, stable peace, etc.) and historical examples and develops a theory of accommodation. An in-depth analysis of two historical case studies more fully elaborates the theory of accommodation for application to China and the United States. By analyzing the current climate and juxtaposing it against accommodations requirements, the opportunities and obstacles are weighed. The conclusion is that accommodation is possible for the United States and China but will be very difficult. The path of least resistance and more popular path both internally and amongst allies would dictate a strategy of conflict, confrontation and containment possibly leading to greater conflict. This path strengthens the current regime and will not precipitate change as calculated. Yet the path to accommodation also entails risk; it must therefore be deliberately and consciously chosen. Once the course is set and benign intent confirmed, differences in the two polities will make the perpetuation of peace difficult and require conscious, continuous and methodical maintenance. The path is difficult but the alternative is superpower conflict escalating into spiraling security dilemmas and the possibility of world war.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2012
- Accession Number
- AD1019389
Entities
People
- Tharon Sperry
Organizations
- Air University