Venezuela and Chavez: What the Future Holds...

Abstract

The next 10 years will bring many challenges and opportunities for the United States and its involvement with the Chavez government of Venezuela. The question on how should the United States prepare its interaction with an increasingly hostile Venezuelan government can be better answered through the use of scenario-planning methodology, a process of five phases: Orient, Explore, Synthesize, Act, and Monitor. With Chavez and Venezuela, the scenario-based methodology process begins by identifying potential changes in events or forces between the US and Venezuela. These events or forces are combined in different ways to create a set of four stories about how the future could unfold. With the creation of these four stories, implications are derived, adding depth of each scenario. At the end, indicators are developed for monitoring events that could unfold, providing insight to potentially predicted outcomes. In order to ensure national and regional security policy success in the Western Hemisphere, the United States' government must always consider national security strategies for potential future interaction with the Chavez government of Venezuela.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 2010
Accession Number
AD1020125

Entities

People

  • John M. Poole

Organizations

  • Air Command and Staff College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Broadcasting
  • Cold War
  • Commerce
  • Congress
  • Department Of State
  • Economic Systems
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Relations
  • Governments
  • Law
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Political Systems
  • Radio Stations
  • South America
  • United States
  • United States Government

Readers

  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design