Analysis of Protection Measures for Naval Vessels Berthed at Harbor Against Terrorist Attacks

Abstract

The defense of a naval ship berthed in a harbor is a complex task affected by many factors. These include the fishing vessel density close to the ship and the challenge of discriminating neutral vessels from threats. A naval vessel berthed at harbor is more susceptible to attack than a vessel in open seas. The chances of detecting and countering a terrorist boat vary widely depending on several factors, including early identification of the attack and weapons available. This research uses modeling in Map Aware Non-uniform Automata (MANA) to analyze the protection measures adopted by naval vessels against terrorist boats. Design of experiments is used to efficiently generate data, which is then replicated using high-performance computing, to address a wide range of possibilities and outcomes. The data generated is analyzed using a variety of techniques. The study concludes that lethality of Blue weapons is the most important factor in determining Blues ability to counter a Red suicide boat attack. Additionally, the tactic of firing a warning shot followed by disabling shots within the exclusion zone decreases Blues success probability. Finally, an exclusion zone of at least 60 meters that is enforced with a patrol boat is recommended.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2016
Accession Number
AD1026821

Entities

People

  • Raja I. Sikandar

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agent-Based Simulations
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Science
  • Experimental Design
  • Explosives
  • High Explosives
  • Information Science
  • Materials Processing
  • Materials Science
  • Materials Testing
  • Mathematical Models
  • Naval Vessels
  • Probability
  • Regression Analysis
  • Rocket Oxidizers
  • Situational Awareness
  • Statistics

Readers

  • Maritime Security/Maritime Homeland Security
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.