Persistent Surveillance of Transient Events with Unknown Statistics

Abstract

We consider the use of a mobile agent to monitor stochastic, transient events that occur in discrete locations in the environment with the objective of maximizing the number of event observations in a balanced manner. We assume that the events of interest at each station follow a stochastic process with an initially unknown and station-specific rate parameter. Consequently, the persistent monitoring problem we address in this paper is a bandit problem -similar to the canonical Multi-Armed Bandit problem- in which we are faced with the inherent trade-off between exploration and exploitation. We introduce a novel monitoring algorithm with provable guarantees that leverages variance estimates to generate policies capable of simultaneously taking into account the pertinent monitoring objectives and the balance between exploration and exploitation. We present analysis establishing lower bounds for the performance of our algorithm measured with respect to the quality of the policies generated. We present experimental results supporting our proposed algorithm and comparing its performance to that of current state-of-the-art monitoring algorithms.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 18, 2016
Accession Number
AD1033485

Entities

People

  • Cenk Baykal
  • Daniela L. Rus
  • Guy Rosman
  • Kyle Kotowick
  • Mark Donahue

Organizations

  • MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aircrafts
  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science
  • Distribution Functions
  • Linear Programming
  • Machine Learning
  • Micro Air Vehicles
  • Optimization
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Simulations
  • Statistics
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Theorems
  • Travel Time

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Seismology
  • Systems Analysis and Design