Particle Filtering Methods for Incorporating Intelligence Updates

Abstract

Due to uncertainty in target locations, stochastic models are implemented to provide a representation of location distribution. The reliability of these models has a profound effect on the ability to successfully interdict these targets. A key factor in the reliability of a model is the incorporation of information updates. A common method for incorporating information updates is Kalman filtering. However, given the probable nonlinear and non-Gaussian nature of target movement models, the fidelity of solutions provided by Kalman filtering could be significantly degraded. A more robust methodology needs to be employed. This thesis uses an updating algorithm known as particle filtering to incorporate information updates concerning the target's position. Particle filtering is a nonparametric filtering technique that is adaptable and flexible. The particle filter is incorporated into a model that uses a stochastic process known as a Brownian bridge to model target movement. A Brownian bridge models target movement with minimal information and allows for uncertainty during periods when target location is unknown. As new intelligence arrives, the particle filter is used to update a probabilistic heat map of target position. The main goal of this thesis is to design a stochastic model integrating both the Brownian bridge model and particle filtering.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2017
Accession Number
AD1045949

Entities

People

  • Jesse A. Nunez

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Sensors

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Computational Complexity
  • Computational Science
  • Data Science
  • Drug Trafficking
  • Filtration
  • Information Science
  • Kalman Filtering
  • Kalman Filters
  • Mathematical Filters
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Reliability
  • Sequential Monte Carlo Methods
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Stochastic Processes

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Sensor Fusion and Tracking Systems.