Gauging The Potential For Armed Conflict Between China And Indonesia In The South China Sea

Abstract

Under what conditions will the Peoples Republic of China and Indonesia be more likely to enter into an armed conflict over disputes in the South China Sea? The purpose of this thesis is to determine the conditions under which both countries might enter into an armed conflict. As no recent armed conflict has involved both countries, this thesis limits its analysis to the historical background and current foreign policy trends of the Peoples Republic of China and Indonesia.Historical cases of China and Indonesia are analyzed to determine how both countries behaved when dealing with situations similar to the maritime dispute in the South China Sea. The results of the historical analysis are then examined within the context of each states foreign policy toward the other on the South China Sea issue. The thesis uses the refined analysis to predict the possibility of armed conflict between the two countries in the near future. Further, it examines policy implications and makes foreign policy recommendations for the government of Indonesia.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2017
Accession Number
AD1053035

Entities

People

  • Mohammad A Aliakbar
  • Pornomo Yoga

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Alliances
  • Culture (Social Sciences)
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Relations
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Conflicts
  • International Law
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Natural Resources
  • Navies (Foreign)
  • Political Science
  • Political Systems
  • Social Sciences
  • Sociopolitics
  • South China Sea
  • Treaties
  • United States

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • International Journalism and Media Studies.
  • Maritime Combat Support and Expeditionary Logistics.
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.