Forecasting Navy Reserve Selected Reserve Annual Training Execution Rate

Abstract

The Navy Reserve budgets for the annual training of officers and enlisted in the Selected Reserve, tracking end strength for both throughout the fiscal year. At the end of each year, it determines how many enlisted and officers completed their annual training. The Navy Reserve Forces Command then determines a participation rate for both based on the dollars expended, and calculates the average dollar rate for each annual training, per person. This project explores a model that tracks end strength fluctuations at the end of each month throughout the fiscal year and compares the fluctuations with annual training dollars executed at the same point in time to determine what the projected Selected Reserve participation rate should be at the end of the year. Projecting training costs throughout the year is critical because these budget decisions impact other aspects of the Navy Reserves personnel budget.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2017
Accession Number
AD1053183

Entities

People

  • Leslie E. Jr Cornwall
  • Robert T. Jr Council

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Business Administration
  • Congress
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Set
  • Data Sets
  • Delphi Method
  • Department Of Defense
  • Descriptive Analytics
  • Digital Data
  • Economic Forecasting
  • Financial Management
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • Management Personnel
  • Organizational Structure
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Public Policy
  • Spreadsheet Software
  • Standards
  • Statistics
  • Training
  • United States

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Military Mobilization and Reserve Forces Studies.