Forecasting Lighting Cessation Using Dual-Polarization Radar And Lighting Mapping Array Near Washington, D.C.

Abstract

This study verifies the probabilistic lightning cessation model developed by Joseph Patton at Florida State University for use by the U.S. Air Forces 45th Weather Squadron at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) and Kennedy Space Center (KSC). The Washington D.C. greater metropolitan area, which presents a climate different to that of central Florida, was chosen as the domain of study. Dual-polarization radar and Lightning Mapping Array data were used to track storms. Performance statistics show that the model revealed notable skill in the Washington D.C. area, yet not to the desired level as indicated by the models performance in central Florida.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 22, 2018
Accession Number
AD1056257

Entities

People

  • Nancy M. Holden

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Sensors

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Algorithms
  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Critical Temperature
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Detection
  • Engineering
  • Equations
  • False Alarms
  • Global Positioning Systems
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • Lightning
  • Meteorology
  • New Mexico
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Probability
  • Radar
  • Radar Sensing
  • Radiation
  • Standards
  • Stations
  • Statistics
  • United States
  • United States Government

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation

Technology Areas

  • Space