A System Dynamics Innovation Diffusion Model Applied to Carbon Nanotube Manufacturing
Abstract
The transition of advanced technologies from their nascent state to viable commercial entities is a critical step in assuring the United States' national technological superiority and support is often required to incubate such technological developments. This study investigates the necessary adoption fractions, contact rates, production capacities, production costs, product prices, monetary support, and time necessary for the company of interest to be considered a commercially viable producer of CNT products. The subsidization required to generate varied profit margins is also explored. The application of system dynamics models determined to approximately represent the real diffusion and production of both CNT sheet and CNT yarn products generates insight regarding policy improvement for the company to achieve competitive commercial CNT production and provide an assessment of when CNT production may be profitable. This study should not be used as the basis for decision making due to the fact that the analysis is based on notional data and scenarios.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 23, 2018
- Accession Number
- AD1056373
Entities
People
- Frances G. Mackinnon
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology