Identification and Selection of Representative Storm Events from a Probabilistic Storm Data Base

Abstract

PURPOSE: This Coastal and Hydraulics Engineering Technical Note (CHETN) provides guidance on the use of a probabilistic storm data base for the development of environmental forcing information for use in probabilistic life-cycle analysis (PLCA) tools such as Beach-fx (Gravens et al. 2007) or Generation Two Coastal Risk Model (G2CRM) (currently under development at the U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory [ERDC-CHL], and Institute for Water Resources [IWR]). In recent years large probabilistic storm data sets including storm surge hydrographs and coincident wind wave information have been generated using high-fidelity numerical models (e.g., ADCIRC, STWAVE) for purposes of characterizing the storm climatology in support of coastal storm risk assessments including updates of the Federal Emergency Management Agency Flood Hazard Mapping Program and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers North Atlantic Comprehensive Coastal Study (NACCS). The high-fidelity numerical hydrodynamic and wind wave modeling results from these studies are archived for analysis and project use purposes in the Coastal Hazards System (CHS) (https://chs.erdc.dren.mil/default.aspx). The CHS is a national, coastal, storm-hazard data storage and mining system. It stores comprehensive, high-fidelity, storm-response computer modeling results including climatology, surge, total water levels, and waves as well as measurements. Extremal statistics and epistemic uncertainties on the processes are also stored, and the data are easily accessed, mined, plotted, and downloaded through a user-friendly web interface. The purpose of this CHETN is to provide a methodology to identify and select a small number (12 to 36) of representative storm events from the considerably larger probabilistic storm data base.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2018
Accession Number
AD1064159

Entities

People

  • Dylan R. Sanderson
  • Mark B. Gravens

Organizations

  • Engineer Research and Development Center

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Amplitude
  • Army
  • Databases
  • Engineers
  • Flood Control
  • Flood Hazards
  • Floods
  • Frequency
  • Information Science
  • Life Cycles
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Relational Databases
  • Risk
  • Sampling
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Simulations
  • Storm Surges

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Coastal Oceanography
  • Coastal and Marine Engineering/Sediment Transport/Hydraulic Engineering
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation