Korea Strategic Outcomes

Abstract

The GMU Korean Peninsula strategic outcomes project sought viable political-military options to achieve U.S. strategic objectives with respect to the Korean Peninsula, and examined whether executing these options will introduce risk to other regional U.S. objectives. Timed Influence Net (TIN) models were used to identify potential sources of strategic risk for the United States, and to develop a framework for use by operational planning teams. The TIN model started with possible end-states and examined influence factors that could contribute or undermine attainment of the end-state of interestin this case Final, Fully Verified Denuclearization (FFVD). The model explored possible intermediate states that would be likely to occur on a path towards FFVD denuclearization and also considered potential US and partner influence factors that could contribute to the intermediate and end-states. Experiments suggest that denuclearization, if achieved, will require many years to implement and the achievement of political, economic, and military accommodations that seem improbable today.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 2018
Accession Number
AD1066700

Entities

People

  • Alexander H. Levis

Organizations

  • George Mason University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Command And Control
  • Deterrence
  • Disasters
  • Economic Security
  • Governments
  • Human Behavior
  • Humanitarian Assistance
  • Korea
  • Leadership
  • Military Operations
  • National Security
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Regional Security
  • Security
  • Unified Combatant Commands
  • United States

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • International Relations, focusing on Korea-Africa and North Korea-South Korea relations, and Nigeria-Latin American Relations.
  • Systems Analysis and Design