Tools for Predicting Wildlife Species Distribution Response to Ecological Shifts

Abstract

This effort will develop a working model that can serve as a tool to predict range shifts of threatened, endangered and at-risk species (TER-S), as environmental conditions are altered by climate change (CC). This tool will assist the USACE with future planning and preparation for restoration projects that incorporate management for TER-S already present within the North Atlantic Division (NAD). Changes in climate have an impact on a wide variety of components within natural environments. Temperature and precipitation changes impact vegetation phenology that may disrupt ecosystems in a way that changes TER-S habitats. With the wide breadth of potential impacts from CC, earlier efforts have focused on developing tools for specific circumstances and/or impacts. However, as each of these factors change independently to impact other components, a more comprehensive methodology is needed to conduct a robust assessment of the impacts of CC across a variety of situations and locations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 16, 2019
Accession Number
AD1077124

Entities

People

  • Ashley Fuentes
  • Austin Davis
  • Eric Britzke
  • Heather Theel
  • Jacob F. Jung
  • Richard A. Fischer

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Pollution
  • Atmospheric Chemistry
  • Biomes
  • Chemistry
  • Climate Change
  • Complex Systems
  • Delphi Method
  • Ecology
  • Ecosystems
  • Endangered Species
  • Engineering
  • Environment
  • Environmental Management
  • Geographic Regions
  • Geography
  • Habitats
  • Precipitation
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Sea Level
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Urban Areas
  • Wildlife

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Systems Analysis and Design
  • Wetland-Land-Environmental Management.