The Modeling of Essential Services, Security, Economics, and Employment

Abstract

Outcomes of irregular warfare (IW) are dependent upon the support of the people for their government. Effective representations of IW environments should model peoples support for their government, yet models of support, backed by quantifiable data are rare. Modeling Essential Services, Security, Economics, and Employment (MESSEE) uses survey data from Iraq and Afghanistan to estimate the relationships between people's perceptions of the government and their decisions to support their government, which can help prioritize non-lethal counterinsurgency efforts and expenditures. Moreover, the estimated support equation, in turn, permits accurate estimation of a social rate of support for the government, that can be used as an input to other modeling efforts, and which is a critical measure of effectiveness (MOE) itself.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2013
Accession Number
AD1079585

Entities

People

  • Adam Shilling
  • Robert Appel

Organizations

  • Center for Army Analysis

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Afghanistan
  • Asymmetric Warfare
  • Counterinsurgency
  • Department Of Defense
  • Descriptive Analytics
  • Doctrine
  • Economics
  • Employment
  • Environment
  • Equations
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Governments
  • Identities
  • International Security
  • Military Operations
  • Operations Research
  • Perception
  • Security
  • Simulations
  • Social Sciences
  • Statistics
  • Training
  • Validation
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Rehabilitation and Prosthetic Care for Military Service Members and Veterans with Limb Loss or Disability.