Development of a Cholera Epidemiological Risk Assessment Framework

Abstract

This report presents technical explanations and specific enumerations for a cholera risk framework developed as a part of a multi-year project funded by the Army Research, Development, Test and Evaluation Program. This effort employed a novel data-conflation technology called the Framework for the Integration of Complex Urban Systems (FICUS), which uses a broad base of peer-reviewed research on established indicators of sociocultural or health-driven risk conditions of interest for intelligence or threat analysis in a given region. Researchers performed a specialized case study that incorporates results and data from previous programmatic work, including FICUS development and an existing theoretical humanitarian crisis (HC) framework. New data required for this framework included identification of conditions for contracting cholera, micro-survey data from global resources, and a digital population model that matches the survey data to existing population census data. The cholera framework research succeeded in using relevant microdata from the HC framework, then manipulating the HC framework to better inform cholera risk modeling. In general, the use of risk-analysis frameworks with FICUS is intended to produce case studies that provide non-obvious insights to the user while accounting for and reducing data gaps and uncertainties.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2019
Accession Number
AD1081298

Entities

People

  • Carey L. Baxter
  • Charles R. Ehlschlaeger
  • Claire Munaretto
  • Elizabeth Bastian
  • James D. Westervelt
  • Jamie Fishman
  • Jeffrey A. Burkhalter
  • Natalie R. Myers

Organizations

  • Construction Engineering Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Climate Change
  • Demography
  • Department Of State
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Drinking Water
  • Employment
  • Geography
  • Health Services
  • Hygiene
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Medical Personnel
  • Minority Groups
  • Risk Analysis
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Storm Surges
  • Urban Areas
  • Vaccines

Readers

  • Business Analytics
  • Military Engineering.
  • Systems Analysis and Design