Improved Physical Parameterizations for Tropical Cyclone Prediction

Abstract

Tropical cyclones (TCs) have a significant impact on Naval operations around the globe. Forecast errors in intensity and structure hinder U. S. Pacific Command's goal of increasing maritime battlespace. High-resolution, full physics numerical models play a critical role providing weather guidance for the fleet, but there are fundamental uncertainties in the physical processes represented in Navy forecast models. The central objectives of this study are to improve our basic understanding of the physical processes that have a significant impact on TC track, intensity, and structure, and improve the parameterizations of these processes through analysis of research observations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 19, 2019
Accession Number
AD1089005

Entities

People

  • Michael M Bell
  • Steven Businger

Organizations

  • University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Boundaries
  • Boundary Layer
  • Cyclones
  • Frequency
  • Guidance
  • High Resolution
  • Intensity
  • Marine Meteorology
  • Meteorological Phenomena
  • Meteorology
  • Naval Operations
  • Navy
  • Observation
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • United States Pacific Command
  • Weather Forecasting

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers
  • Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) Autonomous Capabilities and Mission Reconnaissance.