A Monte Carlo Simulation for Evaluating Airborne Collision Risk in Intersecting Runways

Abstract

The Intersecting Operations simulation model was developed to derive a set of separation standards for converging or intersecting runway operations to statistically mitigate airborne collision risk. This simulation incorporates synthetic trajectory models that capture both the variability of observed flight trajectories and the effects of environmental parameters. Through repeated Monte Carlo trials, the simulation derives the relationship between a given spacing metric and the relative likelihood of an airborne collision. An analyst may use this method to develop a strategy that mitigates unacceptable risk by ensuring that aircraft avoid situations more likely to result in a midair collision.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2013
Accession Number
AD1107237

Entities

People

  • K. Kelbaugh
  • M. Henry
  • N. Revenko
  • S. Schmitz

Organizations

  • MITRE Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aeronautics
  • Air Traffic
  • Air Transportation
  • Aircrafts
  • Altitude
  • Case Studies
  • Data Science
  • Data Set
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Knowledge Management
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Operations Research
  • Radar
  • Sampling
  • Simulations
  • Standards
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Systems Engineering

Readers

  • Approximation Theory.
  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation

Technology Areas

  • Space