Chinese War Termination: Who Begins With the End in Mind?

Abstract

This thesis focuses on when the People's Republic of China (PRC) has terminated war and international crises. By looking into China's conflicts, which were fought under the control of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), this project seeks to discern patterns and characteristics of CCP decision-making. The research will examine a representative array of wars and crises from the establishment of the PRC in 1949 to the present. The PRC's increasingly aggressive attitude has evoked concern for potential conflict and discussion over strategies in the region. However, until now not much attention has been paid to the conditions and circumstances that attend PRC's war termination. The author proposes two conditions when the PRC has terminated the war: when they faced the negative expectation of momentum of war, and when they achieved a favorable narrative both internally and externally. A fuller understanding of PRC's decision-making calculus at the end of conflict can lead to a greater and broader sense of its strategy. It would be meaningful for the future strategists to have a better understanding of Chinese value and what would motivate them to terminate a war, considering the importance of bringing an end to an unprofitable, therefore undesirable, war with the PRC as early as possible.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2018
Accession Number
AD1107516

Entities

People

  • Tomonori Okubo

Organizations

  • Air University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Air Force
  • Air Power
  • Civil War
  • Cold War
  • Communist Countries
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • First World War
  • Governments
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Conflicts
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Military Operations
  • Military Science
  • Military Strategy
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Territorial Disputes
  • Treaties
  • Ussr
  • War
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Asian Economic Studies
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design