Measuring And Modeling Potable Water Demand In The United States Virgin Islands
Abstract
This thesis uses a data-driven and model-based approach to measure and estimate potable water flows in the United States Virgin Islands (USVI). The USVI potable water system is considerably more complicated than typical systems in the mainland United States. For this reason, we conduct a first-principles analysis on water production, storage, delivery, and use patterns to see if standard statistical models of water demand apply in the USVI context. We curate and combine historical weather, demographic, water use, and water delivery data to understand past water use and flows across St. Thomas and St. John. We identify statistically significant differences in water demand patterns on daily and seasonal time horizons. We further quantify how statistical models for normal operations may make poor predictions of water demands after disasters. Based on these analyses, we provide recommendations for USVI stakeholders focused on making the territory resilient to future disasters, such as hurricanes.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2020
- Accession Number
- AD1114654
Entities
People
- Andrew J. Borgdorff
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School