China's Propensity for Innovation in the 21st Century: Identifying Indicators of Future Outcomes
Abstract
How far will China be able to go toward achieving the pathbreaking innovation it seeks broadly across many sectors? How well might standard criteria for evaluation used in other technology-leading nations apply to a system affirmatively designed to follow a development path with Chinese characteristics? Although there are studies of Chinas technological achievements, scientific standing, and innovation potential, most often presented as a tally of innovation assets, this report considers the question of Chinas propensity for innovationthe system-based dynamics for converting potential into achievementin the coming decades. We offer a prospectus for examining Chinas system for generating innovation by determining what observable measures might be the early indicators or precursors that would allow us to more accurately gauge the trajectory of Chinas rise to innovation prominence and how far it may go. We consider important activities, factors, and venues for innovation in China, place them in an integrated framework, propose measures for the most important factors affecting the propensity toward innovation in China, and then from among these measures select an initial dashboard of candidate indicators going forward.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 2020
- Accession Number
- AD1116776
Entities
People
- Alice Shih
- Brian Carlson
- Caroline S. Wagner
- Christopher A. Eusebi
- Eugeniu Han
- Lyle J. Morris
- Marjory S. Blumenthal
- Sale Lilly
- Steven W. Popper
Organizations
- RAND Corporation