Trends in U.S. Air Force Aircraft Mishap Rates (1950-2018)

Abstract

The U.S. Air Force's aircraft inventory is old and getting older. Aircraft, such as the B-52 and KC-135, were designed and manufactured more than 60 years ago but remain critical elements of the Air Force's force structure. At the same time, newer aircraft, such as the F-22 and RQ-4, rely on more-complex technologies, materials, and software, potentially creating new operational and sustainment challenges. The aging of certain fleets and increasing complexity of newer military aircraft, coupled with continued overseas operations and a fluctuating budget environment, have led some to worry that the Air Force's inventory is likely to be more prone to incidents that result in a loss of aircraft or, worse, life. These concerns were elevated following a March 15, 2018, HH-60 loss in Iraq that resulted in seven fatalities and a May 2, 2018, WC-130 loss in Savannah, Georgia, that resulted in nine fatalities and contributed to Congress establishing the National Commission on Military Aviation Safety as part of the 2019 National Defense Authorization Act.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2020
Accession Number
AD1116794

Entities

People

  • Spencer Pfeifer
  • Thomas Hamilton
  • Thomas Light

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accident Investigations
  • Accidents
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Aircraft
  • Air Force Personnel
  • Aircraft Design
  • Aircrafts
  • Airframes
  • Aviation Accidents
  • Aviation Safety
  • Data Analysis
  • Fighter Aircraft
  • Military Aircraft
  • Military Aviation
  • Resource Management
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Training Aircraft

Readers

  • Aerospace logistics and air mobility.
  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Economics