A Bayesian Approach to Evaluation of Operational Testing of Land Warfare Systems

Abstract

In this paper we critique perceived deficiencies in current practices in analyzing operational test metrics and demonstrate how a Bayesian approach could be applied to operational tests to improve confidence in the assessment of the test results. We develop an approach and apply it to the analysis of Percent Blue Survivors and Percent Red Killed as univariate measures of effectiveness in operational testing, using historical data.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 18, 2014
Accession Number
AD1123721

Entities

People

  • Alyson G Wilson
  • Lee Sr Dewald
  • Robert Holcomb
  • Sam Parry

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayesian Networks
  • Deficiencies
  • Measures Of Effectiveness
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Emergency Management and Homeland Security.
  • Maritime and Naval Warfare Studies
  • Regression Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy