RAND's Scalable Warning and Resilience Model (SWARM): Enhancing Defenders' Predictive Power in Cyberspace

Abstract

The evolving cyber threat landscape requires rapidly and constantly adapting cyberdefense solutions. The current strategies that defenders employ are based predominantly on detecting cyber incidents at the early or later stages of a cyberattack cycle but seldom prior to the delivery of a weaponized payload to the defenders networks. Other initial stages of a cyberattack cyclethe adversary conducting reconnaissance on the target, testing capabilities, establishing and maintaining infrastructure, or potential geopolitical trigger events occurringare not typically factored into defenders calculations when predicting or preventing cyber incidents. As a result, the model introduced in this report intends to enhance the predictive and anticipatory capabilities available to cyber defenders while also augmenting resilience by improving preventions and detections as early in Lockheed Martins Cyber Kill Chain framework as possible.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2021
Accession Number
AD1132722

Entities

People

  • Adam S. Moore
  • Billyana Lilly
  • Daniel Weishoff
  • Quentin E. Hodson

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayesian Networks
  • Big Data
  • Command And Control
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Languages
  • Computer Networks
  • Computer Programming
  • Computers
  • Cyber Defense Techniques
  • Cyberattacks
  • Cybersecurity
  • Cyberspace Operations
  • Data Mining
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Intelligence Community (United States)
  • International Organizations
  • Machine Learning
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Network Protocols
  • Network Science
  • Neural Networks

Readers

  • Cybersecurity.
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) Autonomous Capabilities and Mission Reconnaissance.

Technology Areas

  • Cyber