Deciphering Chinese Deterrence Signalling in the New Era: An Analytic Framework and Seven Case Studies
Abstract
The purpose of this report is to examine how Chinas approach to deterrence signalling is evolving along with its expanding objectives, growing military capabilities, and the availability of new communication channels, such as Chinese- and English-language social media. As Chinas pursuit of its goals becomes more assertive, one critically important question for analysts and policymakers in Australia, the United States, and other regional countries is how to interpret Chinas changing approach to deterrence signalling. This report is intended to contribute to a better understanding of deterrence and counter coercion across domains in the Indo-Pacific region at a time of increased friction and strategic competition with China. In particular, it presents a framework to evaluate Chinas changing approach, one that is intended to enable analysts and policymakers in Australia, the United States, and other countries to appropriately characterise, interpret, and respond to Chinese deterrence signaling.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 19, 2021
- Accession Number
- AD1134808
Entities
People
- Derek Grossman
- Kristen Gunness
- Marigold Black
- Michael S. Chase
- Natalia Simmons-thomas
- Nathan Beauchamp-mustafaga
Organizations
- Department of Defence
- RAND Corporation