Determining the Temporal and Spatial Scales of Nonstationarity in Temperature and Precipitation across the Continental United States for a Given Emissions Scenario
Abstract
The means and extremes of surface air temperature and precipitation have changed significantly in the last 50 years, and may change more in the 21st Century. These changes may be without an historical analogue, and this non stationarity presents a challenge for DoD infrastructure planning and operations, wherein historical distributions are used as the basis for managing infrastructure and operations risk from flooding, drought, heat waves, and other weather phenomena. The objective of this proposal is to use a combination of climate models, observations, and analysis to develop robust, defensible projections of the range of distributions of temperature and precipitation that DoD infrastructure and operations will face.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 20, 2019
- Accession Number
- AD1135341
Entities
People
- Daniel R. Feldman
Organizations
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory