Identifying Indicators of State Change in Alaskan Boreal Ecosystems: Testing Previous Hypotheses and Conclusions with Long-term Data

Abstract

We collected, analyzed and synthesized additional longterm data on the resilience and vulnerability of Alaskan boreal forests toecosystem state change following wildfire or fuel reduction management. This research revisited site networks established during thecompleted SERDP project RC02109, which focused on identifying factors controlling ecosystem vulnerability to state change afterdisturbance in black spruce (Picea mariana) forests, the vegetation type that dominates Department of Defense (DoD) lands in InteriorAlaska. At the time of initial measurement, sites were relatively recently disturbed (<10 years after disturbance events). Our overarchingobjective was to determine whether the mechanistic links among fire, soils, permafrost, and vegetation succession predictive of statechange immediately following disturbance remain robust predictors over longer timescales. Our data confirm that managers can useearly postfire data to predict vulnerability to ecosystem state change after wildfire because tree seedling regeneration and soiltemperature regime are entrained soon after fire. In fuel management treatments, however, the prolonged window of coniferrecruitment will require longerterm (e.g., decadal) observations of composition to predict successional trajectories.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 30, 2019
Accession Number
AD1135447

Entities

People

  • Edward Ag Schuur
  • Gerardo Celis
  • Jill F. Johnstone
  • Melissa A. Boyd
  • Michelle Cailin Mack

Organizations

  • Northern Arizona University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Temperature
  • Arctic Regions
  • Climate Change
  • Combustion
  • Data Centers
  • Decomposition
  • Department Of Defense
  • Ecology
  • Ecosystems
  • Environment
  • Equations
  • Fires
  • Forests
  • Fungi
  • High Density
  • Intervals
  • Measurement
  • Military Operations
  • New York
  • Organic Soils
  • Permafrost
  • Plants
  • Therapy
  • Vegetation
  • Weather Stations
  • Wildfires

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Coastal Oceanography
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Wetland-Land-Environmental Management.