Reading the Tea Leaves: Proto-Insurgency in Honduras

Abstract

Col. John D. Waghelstein (Ret.) is the author of this case study, which examines ways of recognizing an insurgency while it is still in its early stages. This case looks at the strategic and operational effects of interagency friction, intelligence assessments, and how to recognize the nature of the conflict. It includes a framework for analyzing insurgencies at their earliest stages; it also provides a set of benchmarks that have helped operators to better understand their environment. The framework is not meant to be conclusive; rather, it is a set of questions to help current operators consider when and whether an organized rebellion is forming. The case also raises the issue of what other indicators we should be aware of in a 21st century, social media world.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2012
Accession Number
AD1147695

Entities

People

  • John D. Waghelstein

Organizations

  • Naval War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Business Administration
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  • Doctrine
  • Employment
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • International Law
  • Law
  • Management Personnel
  • Military Science
  • National Governments
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  • Students
  • Terrorists
  • United States Southern Command
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Systems Analysis and Design