Deep Learning for Weather Clustering and Forecasting

Abstract

Clustering weather data is a valuable endeavor in multiple respects. The results can be used within a larger weather prediction framework or could simply serve as an analytical tool for characterizing climatic differences of a particular region. This research proposes a methodology for clustering geographic locations based on the similarity in shape of their temperature time series. To this end an emerging and powerful class of clustering techniques that leverages deep learning, called deep representation clustering (DRC), are utilized. Moreover, a time series specific DRC algorithm is proposed that addresses a current gap in the field. Finally, deep learning based weather prediction is an increasingly common research topic as a means of obtaining more rapid predictions when compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP). Since their are known physical equations that govern atmospheric behavior, namely the Navier-Stokes equations, the concept of reformulating these laws into a physics based loss function is explored with particular interest in whether a model trained with such a loss function can outperform its baseline counterpart.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2021
Accession Number
AD1149667

Entities

People

  • Nathanael R. Beveridge

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Artificial Intelligence Software
  • Computational Science
  • Data Mining
  • Data Science
  • Deep Learning
  • Differential Equations
  • Geography
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Machine Learning
  • Navier Stokes Equations
  • Neural Networks
  • Recurrent Neural Networks
  • United States
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.
  • Neural Network Machine Learning.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks