The Russian Federation's Use of Non-State Actors in Hybrid Operations in Europe

Abstract

Under what circumstances is Russia successful in waging hybrid operations, short of the use of armed force? For the last two decades, Russia has undertaken structured cyber attacks, political destabilization, subversive activities, and psychological influence throughout the world as part of what has become known as hybrid warfare or New-Type War (NTW). This thesis examines two contemporary European case studies Estonia and Montenegro where Russia has used indirect means such as proxy forces, organized crime, and other tools to conduct influence operations in its attempts to achieve its foreign policy goals. The thesis investigates how Russia has used, or tried to use, these non-state actors; how effective these operations have been; and whether Russia was successful in reaching its foreign-policy objectives in target states. The thesis finds that Russian NTW campaigns require that there be no cohesive society in the target country. Contradictions and a divided society in the target country are the basis on which Russia can build an NTW campaign and choose the elements of NTW non-state actors to carry out the campaign. Thus, the most crucial aspect of launching and conducting an NTW campaign is the psychological influencing and so-called unbalancing of the target country's society and government.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2021
Accession Number
AD1150814

Entities

People

  • Anders Suvari

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Combat Areas
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Cyberattacks
  • Cyberspace Operations
  • Employment
  • Hybrid Warfare
  • Information Operations
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Science
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Private Military Companies
  • Social Media
  • Terrorism
  • Terrorists
  • Treaties
  • Warfare

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • International Relations and Conflict Resolution
  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.
  • Strategic Security Studies

Technology Areas

  • Cyber
  • Cyber - Legality in Cyberspace