Analysis of Russian Irregular Threats

Abstract

This report has two primary purposes. First, we take stock of numerous strategic global trends related to Russian global influence and behavior. To do so, we leverage geopolitical, socio-economic, and public opinion indicators, generally for the period from 2010 to 2017. Second, we provide an overview and assessment of hostile activities Russia has undertaken in the face of the strategic trends we identify. We assess these activities across two primary realms: the cognitive and physical. Measures within these two realms include information warfare, political subversion, and the use of violence or the threat of violence through proxies to undermine political order and influence vulnerable governments. We divide our assessment of Russian hostile measures across six different regions, with a focus on the U.S. European Command (EUCOM), U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), and U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) areas of responsibility. We thus offer a geographical assessment of Russian activities across these two realms.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2021
Accession Number
AD1152817

Entities

People

  • Chandler Sachs
  • Dara Massicot
  • Elina Treyger
  • Naoko Aoki
  • Sean M. Zeigler
  • Stephen Watts

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Central Asia
  • Czech Republic
  • Eastern Europe
  • European Union
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Relations
  • Governments
  • Hybrid Warfare
  • Information Warfare
  • International Law
  • International Relations
  • Middle East
  • National Politics
  • Private Military Companies
  • Social Media
  • Treaties
  • United States
  • Ussr
  • Warfare

Readers

  • International Relations and Conflict Resolution
  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.