Avoiding Black Swans in Future Wars: How National Economics Could Dictate the Outcome of a Future Sino-American War

Abstract

The economic implications of a protracted war between the United States and China promise a future fraught with uncertainties about the prospects of either military's abilities to win and preserve their state's strategic standing. The likelihood is high that a war between the United States and China would be long and costly, where the key to victory lies not in the ability to break any battlefield stalemate but rather in a contest between each state's economic endurance. Both China and the United States bring particular economic advantages and disadvantages that shape their pursuit of victory. Through the lens of each state's national economies, this research seeks to understand the strategic and operational implications of a future Sino-American war scenario set in the Indo-Pacific in 2036.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 23, 2021
Accession Number
AD1161287

Entities

People

  • Sidney H. Mcmath

Organizations

  • School of Advanced Military Studies

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