Early Predictive Indicators of Contractor Performance: A Data-Analytic Approach

Abstract

In this report, the authors describe a new way to apply data science to a variety of disparate and disjointed government and external data sources to highlight the relative contractor performance risks and provide earlier indicators of performance issues in DAF acquisition contracts and programs than would normally be achieved in traditional formal reporting. Although the authors cannot definitively state this is the optimal approach, this method seeks to produce risk and performance indicators earlier than current information sources and metrics do. This is the final report for Phase II of an effort to test the approach outlined here by building a prototype that uses actual data to calculate contractor risk measures and performance metric values relative to those of their peers, the available contractor base, or fixed thresholds, presenting outliers to prototype users for further human investigation and assessment.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2022
Accession Number
AD1168975

Entities

People

  • Alejandro V. Camargo
  • David Kravitz
  • Grant E Johnson
  • James Ryseff
  • Megan Mckernan
  • Philip S. Anton
  • Samantha S Cohen
  • Stephen B. Joplin
  • William Shelton

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy
  • C4I
  • Cyber
  • Human Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Business Administration
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programming
  • Data Science
  • Employment
  • Information Retrieval
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Language
  • Machine Learning
  • Management Personnel
  • Organizational Structure
  • Procurement
  • Program Management
  • Risk Analysis
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Supply Chain
  • Systems Engineering
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Government Contracting/Procurement.
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy