In-situ Atmospheric Intelligence for Hybrid Power Grids: Volume 6 (Convolutional Neural Networks for Whole Sky Imager Data Analysis)

Abstract

Automated analysis of whole sky imager (WSI) images can provide atmospheric intelligence for near-future solar power generation. Atmospheric intelligence in the form of input to solar radiation models can subsequently inform optimization algorithms of an energy management system, enabling efficient and effective power distribution. In this work, we developed three separate convolutional neural network models to assess WSI images including image segmentation by cloud type, estimation of thin/thick cloud percentage, and inference of current solar radiation. A cloud segmentation model was trained with limited cloud example data and was moderately successful, except when identifying a bright clear sky. A cloud quantification model was trained with hand-labeled percentages and was accurate enough for use in energy management system simulations. Finally, a solar radiation model was trained on a year-round data set from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. This model was able to infer the total solar radiation within 50 W/sq m using a camera sensor limited to only visible wavelengths. Future studies will include model accuracy improvements with more training data and new prediction models of future sky conditions based on past WSI image sequences.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2022
Accession Number
AD1171285

Entities

People

  • Gail T. Vaucher
  • Michael S. D'arcy
  • Michael S. Lee

Organizations

  • United States Army

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Intelligence Software
  • Computer Vision
  • Convolutional Neural Networks
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Mining
  • Detectors
  • Digital Images
  • Electrical Grids
  • Energy Management
  • Image Processing
  • Image Segmentation
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Load Monitoring
  • Machine Learning
  • Neural Networks
  • Power Distribution
  • Remote Sensing
  • Renewable Energy
  • Solar Energy
  • Solar Radiation
  • Supervised Machine Learning

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Energy Conservation and Renewable Energy Engineering.
  • Neural Network Machine Learning.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks