North Korea in Transition: Scenarios for Reform (Security/Strategic Studies)

Abstract

The little-reported emergence of private industry is transitioning loyalty and eroding the legitimacy of the Kim dynasty, setting the conditions for economic reform. Continued indirect assistance to accelerate the North Korean illicit economy serves to de-stabilize the regime and also has the fortunate effect of avoiding the Chinese feared social collapse and humanitarian crisis that some scenarios predict. Through analysis, this paper outlines prospects for social-economic reform and explores the probability of possible reform scenarios.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 21, 2016
Accession Number
AD1176332

Entities

People

  • Matthew A Seavitte

Organizations

  • Marine Corps University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Collapse
  • Commerce
  • Economic Systems
  • Families (Human)
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Relations
  • Geography
  • Globalization
  • Governments
  • Human Rights
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Investments
  • Marine Corps
  • Market Economy
  • Mobile Phones
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • North Korea
  • Political Ideologies
  • Revolutions
  • South Korea
  • United States
  • War
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Economics
  • International Relations, focusing on Korea-Africa and North Korea-South Korea relations, and Nigeria-Latin American Relations.