Back to the Future: The Potential of Great Power Competition to Return to Great Power Conflict

Abstract

This essay compares the roots of the First World War to the trends of future conflict and risk posited in contemporary future planning and intelligence estimates. From this comparative analysis, a synthesis emerges that suggests conditions analogous to the pre-1914 era exist today in the reemergence of Great Power conflict. In many respects, influences that actually drove decision makers on the "Road to War" before 1914 also concern intelligence analysts today as possible shaping measures on future decisions for war.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 15, 2019
Accession Number
AD1177333

Entities

People

  • Sasha A Newsuan Smith

Organizations

  • Marine Corps University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Climate Change
  • Commerce
  • Economic Systems
  • First World War
  • Geography
  • Globalization
  • Governments
  • History
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Law
  • National Governments
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Political Systems
  • Treaties
  • United States

Readers

  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design