The Destabilization of the US-Philippine Relations: Abrogation of the VFA, President Duterte, and Chinese Power
Abstract
The US-Philippine history and relations date back to the Spanish-American War. Eventually, a formal alliance formed between the two countries providing access for US forces into the Philippines. This alliance allowed the US to provide military and economic support to the Philippines while projecting US power in Southeast Asia. This balancing strategy between both nations came to a halt when Duterte abrogated the Visiting Forces Agreement with the US on February 11, 2020. If there is no negotiation between Duterte and Trump by August, US forces will no longer engage in training and exercises in the Philippines. Aware of China's growth, Duterte sides with the country he deems is the winner. His bandwagoning strategy with the PRC impacts the US' security capabilities, credibility, and future operations in the region. The destabilization of the US-Philippine relations resulting from Dutertes economic negotiations and diplomatic actions in favor of China poses major implications for the US as it seems to be losing its ally and presence in East Asia. Given these possible outcomes, the US-Philippine security alliance may require US to use all instruments of power in convincing Duterte to realign with the US.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 07, 2020
- Accession Number
- AD1177732
Entities
People
- Armejoy B. Koontz
Organizations
- Marine Corps University