Road to Venezuelan Crisis: A Systemic Analysis from Clausewitz's Trinity Perspective
Abstract
The populist government in Venezuela that started with Hugo Chavez in 1998 and continues with his successor Nicolas Maduro has led the country into an unprecedented crisis in its history. Foodshortage, lack of medicine, and increasing unemployment have provoked massive demonstrations, and millions of Venezuelan citizens have left their homeland towards neighboring countries andoverseas seeking for survival. The compromising of military leaders, the formation of militias, and the support of China and Russia to Maduro increase the complexity of the situation. In 2018, the rebuttal ofpresidential reelection of Maduro due to lack of transparency and accountability within the international community resulted in the current clash for the office between Maduro and Juan Guaid. The supportfrom more than fifty countries to Guaid has not been sufficient to oust Maduro and open the ways to a peaceful solution. Moreover, the linkage between Maduros administration with narcotraffickers andother criminal activities spread instability throughout the region and jeopardizes Brazilian interests. This research analyzes the Venezuelan Crisis from a systemic perspective, and the intent is to confirmthat Clausewitzs Trinity provides a holistic understanding to assess risks of military intervention, as well as identify opportunities for Brazilian leaders to approach the problem.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 20, 2020
- Accession Number
- AD1177799
Entities
People
- Leandro M Moreira
Organizations
- Marine Corps University