Russian and NATO Future Strategy in the Arctic. The Arctic Security Dilemma; A Russian Escalation without a NATO Counter-Strategy
Abstract
A research of the current NATO strategy and capabilities to evaluate if they are adapted to the future Arctic challenges. Three different scenarios, with Russia as the main adversary, are discussed. Russia approaches the future of the Arctic with a clearly defined, robust, and flexible strategy, and has already started the operationalization by investing money, resources, and conducting a military buildup in the region. On the other hand, NATO has also a flexible strategy; however, the operationalization seems more like an adaption of each member's strategy than making a NATO concept. In conclusion, Russia has seized the initiative for the future in the Arctic, with a strategy and investments to facilitate for all possible scenarios from peace to war. NATO continues to focus equally on all global regions of interest, and is struggling to clarify and operationalize a NATO Arctic strategy against Russia. As a result, NATO could in the future be limited to only administrate the deployment of the different countries' military capability at hand, rather than act as a unified super-power that commands a tailored and well prepared cold-weather military force of a powerful alliance.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 02, 2016
- Accession Number
- AD1178769
Entities
People
- John O. Fuglem
Organizations
- Marine Corps University