Predicting Future War: Identifying Techniques for Asking the Right Questions

Abstract

An analysis of successful recent predictions about future war shows that the best predictions have four components: using history to understand warfare, recognizing factors beyond military and technology that change warfare, assuming that both regular and irregular warfare will continue in the future, and assuming that adversaries will adapt to one another and to their environments. Using those four components, this paper analyzes three current predictions about future warfare and two current DoD policy documents.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 28, 2019
Accession Number
AD1179123

Entities

People

  • Tyler J Holt

Organizations

  • Marine Corps University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Autonomy
  • Counter WMD
  • Cyber
  • Electronic Warfare
  • Human Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Afghanistan Conflict
  • Asymmetric Warfare
  • Combat Areas
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Department Of Defense
  • Directed Energy Weapons
  • Governments
  • Humanitarian Assistance
  • Insurgency
  • Iraqi-War
  • Marine Corps
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Science
  • Military Strategy
  • National Security
  • Terrorists
  • United States
  • Unmanned Vehicles
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Strategic Security Studies