Prospects for Deterrence, Escalation, Coercion and War in the Indo-Pacific

Abstract

This project marks the second year that the PI and a team of researchers assess the prospects for war in the Indo-Pacific. The purpose of the assessment is to inform the Navy's strategy in this vital theater of operations. Drawing upon the theoretical literature, as well as analysis of contemporary geopolitics, this project examines how regional actors assess the prospects for war, specifically their attitudes towards deterrence and escalation management on the use of force at sea, and the implications for possible conflict with Indo-Pacific competitors. The study highlights the need for the Navy to unpack the geopolitical complexities of this region that are inextricably intertwined with the uncertainties of structuring a deterrent force that can help create a political environment to minimize the chances of regional war. This complex endeavor is more of an art than a science.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 27, 2022
Accession Number
AD1202050

Entities

People

  • James A. Russell
  • James J. Wirtz
  • Michael Malley

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Autonomy
  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Geography
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Law
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Research
  • Military Science
  • National Security
  • Naval Operations
  • Naval Warfare
  • Second World War
  • Terrain
  • Topography
  • Treaties
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design