Predictive Modeling using Point of Care Lung Ultrasound (P-LUS) for Emergency Triage of Patients with Acute Respiratory Symptoms Related to COVID-19

Abstract

The unprecedented number of patients with COVID-19 disease (infected or presumably infected by SARS-CoV-2) seeking urgent care for acute respiratory symptoms severely disrupted the allocation of hospital personnel and resources. Progressive respiratory failure may occur rapidly (<72h)during COVID-19. It is imperative to identify safe and effective diagnostic tools to appropriately allocate scarce resources early while minimizing further viral spread. Point-of-care lung ultrasound (P-LUS) imaging is available with the portable, cost-effective Butterfly iQ probes. We tested the hypothesis that P-LUS imaging and other predictors provide effective emergency triage and early identification of hospital resources required by COVID-19 patients presenting with acute respiratory symptoms. We developed a simplified scoring system (adjusted from prior published score rubric) and tested the score inter-user agreement. We then used this scoring matric to evaluate P-LUS images obtained for clinical purposes from patients presenting with possible COVID-19-related acute respiratory symptoms to the Emergency Department (ED) at three participating sites between March 2020 and April 2021. At least three blinded ultrasound-trained investigators evaluated the images available from eligible patients and provided the worst score (from normal, 0, to most abnormal, 3) for all the P-LUS exams available for each patient. A predictive model was then developed for the need of hospital admission (vs. discharge) from the ED, including clinically relevant vital signs and laboratory values, and P-LUS findings. Reviewers had uniform agreement on the low (scores 0-1) or high (2-3) risk classification of 66.7% cases. The presence of diffuse B-lines showed the highest level of agreement among reviewers (ICC 0.906).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 26, 2022
Accession Number
AD1203387

Entities

People

  • Ana Fernandez-bustamante
  • Joe Maddry
  • John Kendall
  • Patrick C. Ng

Organizations

  • 59th Medical Wing
  • Denver Health Medical Center
  • University of Colorado School of Medicine

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome
  • Blood
  • Blood Cells
  • Cell Count
  • Covid-19
  • Detection
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Health Services
  • Leukocytes
  • Materials
  • Medical Personnel
  • Point-Of-Care Diagnostic Testing
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Risk Analysis
  • Sars
  • Ultrasounds
  • Virus Diseases
  • Viruses
  • Vital Signs

Fields of Study

  • Medicine

Readers

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