Risk-Based Decision Making Guidelines: Proof-of-Principle Demonstration of a Risk Change Analysis Tool for Marine Events
Abstract
Many ports and waterways host a number of non-routine and special marine events that temporarily change the risk profile for the port or waterway. This report documents the evaluation of the risk Change Analysis technique from the second edition of the Risk-based Decision-making (RBDM) Guidelines for characterizing the risks associated with approving and controlling marine events. The new RBDM Guidelines are part of an ongoing research and development project to support the U.S. Coast Guard Office of Design and Engineering Standards (G-MSE) strategy of developing a risk toolbox for marine safety activities. Change Analysis has been employed in many industries for both identifying and proactively managing risks (risk analysis), as well as for investigating contributing factors to mishaps/losses (root cause analysis). A hypothesized marine event was selected to be similar to the OPSAIL 2000 event that may occur at the Port of Baltimore during the summer of 2000.Based on the R and D proof-of-principle test, recent application to a powerboat race, and the upcoming OPSAIL 2000 marine event, Coast Guard Activities Baltimore concluded that the Change Analysis process provides an efficient and effective structure for applying risk-based decision-making to the planning and control of these marine events. The new process provides a more systematic approach that facilitates putting stakeholders into a structure, better focus on what can go wrong, i.e., looks at all of the possible mishaps that could occur in a marine event, and results in better educated marine event stakeholders and sponsors. The results of this test can serve as a model for performing other types of marine event risk Change Analysis.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1999
- Accession Number
- AD1210530
Entities
People
- Bert Macesker
Organizations
- American Bureau of Shipping