Statistically Predicting Navy Enlisted Sailors Length of Stay

Abstract

Recruiting and retaining enlisted sailors has become an increasingly daunting task for the United States Navy. A significant number of Navy Enlisted sailors prematurely end their service after completing their initial term, leading to substantial financial implications for the Navy. This study aims to address this issue by analyzing a comprehensive dataset obtained from the Navy Enlisted System (NES) using survival analysis and various statistical techniques to conduct model selections. The primary objective is to predict years of their service and to identify the factors that correlate with the duration of enlisted sailors tenure in the Navy. By accurately predicting the length of their service and understanding the influential factors, this research provides valuable insights for informed decision-making in recruitment-related matters. Through survival analysis and modeling techniques, we identify the factors associated with the likelihood of sailors leaving the Navy and use these insights to predict their length of stay. The findings of this research hold potential for the development of proactive measures to improve retention and reduce attrition rates, particularly considering the Navy's recruitment challenges.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2023
Accession Number
AD1224733

Entities

People

  • Wonbin Ko

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Readers

  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.