Exploring Pharmaceutical Logistics Requirement Forecasts for Contested Environments
Abstract
In NEAR-PEER contested logistics, accurate pharmaceutical estimation and inventory management are crucial for military readiness. Amidst diverse threats across combatant commands, logistics and resource efficiency gain significance. Our research aligns with the Secretary of the Navy's directives, emphasizing efficient resupply and projecting warfighting capabilities from maritime environments. Our study employs a simulation-based model for pharmaceutical estimation in contested environments. Analyzing historical data, we categorize consumable demands by patient categories. Simulation assesses stockout risks, revealing pitfalls in using averages and neglecting variability, even with real patient data-based inventory policies. The study's insights benefit medical professionals, operational logisticians, and military planners, enhancing inventory management, supply chain logistics, and risk mitigation. Planning and allocating pharmaceuticals proactively based on demand predictions considering uncertainty ensure timely medication access. This improves operational medicine capabilities in distributed maritime operations, aligning with the military's evolving needs and strategic directives.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 2023
- Accession Number
- AD1225595
Entities
People
- Matthew N. Chase
- Sean R. Szad
- Wilfred C. Flores
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School