Adaptive Computer Aiding in Dynamic Decision Processes: An Initial Study in Dynamic Utility Convergence and Decision Aiding

Abstract

One central goal of the decision theory is to provide a rational basis for decision making. The ADDAM (Adaptive Dynamic Decision Aiding Mechanism) System is designed to aid the decision maker (DM) in performing dynamic decision tasks. The ADDAM system provides real-time dynamic assessments of multiple utilities as the DM performs a dynamic decision task. ADDAM continuously tracks the DM's decision responses and uses adaptive pattern classification techniques to learn his utilities for their outcomes. These Utilities are then used to provide decision aiding of various forms, including recommendation of maximum expected utility decisions. The results of an initial experiment to investigate the effectiveness of the adaptive decision modeling system and the DM's acceptance of the model as a normative basis for decision making are reported.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 29, 1974
Accession Number
ADA003015

Entities

People

  • Amos Freedy
  • Gershon Weltman
  • Kent B. Davis
  • Richard L. Weisbrod

Tags

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  • Human Systems
  • Sensors

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Classification
  • Computers
  • Consistency
  • Convergence
  • Decision Theory
  • Engineering
  • False Alarms
  • Governments
  • Human Factors Engineering
  • Intelligence Analysis
  • Organizational Structure
  • Pilot Studies
  • Psychology
  • Training
  • United States
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