Achieving Specified Accuracy in Simulation Output Analysis.

Abstract

This paper extends the use of the regenerative property of queueing systems in the analysis of simulation output. In particular, it describes a sequential estimation method which when used with the regenerative property allows results to be obtained with specified statistical accuracy. This method includes a test to check the normality assumption on which the sequential procedure relies. The paper illustrates the method using the empty and idle state as the regenerative states. A second example then describes how using the most frequently entered state as the regenerative state reduces the chance of making a costly error in a preliminary simulation run. The paper also describes how a variance reduction method can be used to obtain a specified accuracy with considerably fewer job completions than are required when no variance reduction technique is applied.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1974
Accession Number
ADA003556

Entities

People

  • George S. Fishman

Organizations

  • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Curriculum
  • Data Science
  • Errors
  • Information Science
  • Interdisciplinary Science
  • Mathematics
  • Normality
  • Operations Research
  • Simulations
  • Systems Analysis
  • Systems Science

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design