Monitoring International Crisis.

Abstract

The problems of monitoring an evolving international crisis are severe. McClelland (1961) reminds us of the classical diplomatic historian's view that a crisis is idiographic, and that the search for its pattern and regularity is a useless undertaking. It constitutes a search for something that does not exist. No amount of nomothetic analysis can identify patterns that simply are not present in the empirical reality of a crisis situation. The only appropriate research strategy is the case study approach. However limited this strategy may be, it is scientifically more important to acknowledge a situation's natural constraints than to violate the cannons of scientific inquiry by generalizing too broadly. Students of international affairs should content themselves with the uniqueness of each crisis rather than being so game for the precarious task of generalizing to a population of crises.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1975
Accession Number
ADA005355

Entities

People

  • Richard Smith Beal

Organizations

  • University of Southern California

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Case Studies
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Monitoring

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Theoretical Analysis.