The Utilization of the Behavioral Sciences in Long Range Forecasting and Policy Planning

Abstract

The project seeks to develop forecasting techniques to the point where the impact of alternative U.S. foreign policies toward specific countries can be assessed in alternative strategic environments. As a way of achieving this objective, the Project is developing computer simulations of several Middle-East oil producing nations. In doing this, assumptions about relations between U.S. policies, policy actions, a country, and a region are being expressed in a mathematical language. Results from ARPA supported basic research are used to provide a basis for defining and testing the relations between these indicators. As a target, U.S. relations with Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Libya, and Algeria are being studied.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 31, 1974
Accession Number
ADA006564

Entities

People

  • Stuart J. Thorson

Organizations

  • Ohio State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Behavioral Sciences
  • Birds
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Governments
  • Grammars
  • Groundwater
  • International Relations
  • Language
  • National Governments
  • Political Science
  • Political Systems
  • Psychology
  • Public Administration
  • Public Policy
  • Social Sciences

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.