Organization of Development of Scientific-Technical Predictions in Bulgaria,

Abstract

Predictions in the People's Republic of Bulgaria have been developed up to the formation of a unified system of forecasting. The development of predictions in certain basic branches had already begun about 1965; these predictions were implemented up to 1967. Up to the beginning of 1970 approximately 150 scientific-technical predictions were worked out in Bulgaria, mostly medium term predictions. During their development difficulties were revealed in connection with the lack of a unified forecasting procedure. Even the practical utilization of methods of forecasting caused difficulties. Their application in practice only on the basis of published sources required great effort in determining the degree to which the given method is suitable for one or another forecasting object. Methods of expert appraisals and extrapolation were principally used, as well as their varieties, independently as well as in a complex.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 20, 1975
Accession Number
ADA006858

Entities

People

  • B. Benev
  • M. Yotsova
  • N. Zagorskii

Organizations

  • National Air and Space Intelligence Center

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bulgaria
  • Delphi Method
  • Extrapolation
  • Governments
  • Organizational Structure
  • Republic

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Political Science/ International Relations/ European Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design