The Application of Probability Calculations for Bird-Aircraft Strike Analyses and Predictions Using Radar

Abstract

A theoretical development is given for the calculation of binomial probability distribution functions for assessing the risk of bird hazards to aircraft using radar. A set of airspace cells is defined by beam geometry and pulse width and a given aircraft flight path, each with a determined number of birds. Each distribution function can be studied to determine the maximum risk and corresponding number of birds involved. The accumulative probability of bird strikes over an entire route can be determined by calculating the union of discrete cell probability sets.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1975
Accession Number
ADA008901

Entities

People

  • George E. Meyer

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Air Traffic
  • Aircraft Equipment
  • Aircrafts
  • Bird Strikes
  • Detection
  • Engineering
  • Geometry
  • Hazards
  • Measurement
  • Probability
  • Radar
  • Standards
  • Surveillance Radar
  • Three Dimensional
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • Space